UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2017

Published: 31/10/2017

Even full implementation of current national climate plans (Nationally Determined Contributions, NDCs) makes a temperature increase of at least 3oC by 2100 very likely – meaning that governments need to deliver much stronger pledges, when they are revised in 2020.

The eighth edition of UN Environment’s Emissions Gap report finds that national pledges only bring a third of the reduction in emissions required by 2030. The report finds that current Paris pledges make 2030 emissions likely to reach 11 - 13.5 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO2e) above the level needed to stay on the least-cost path to meeting the 2oC target. In view of the 1.5°C target, the emissions gap rises to 16 – 19 GtCO2e.

Ecofys, a Navigant company, contributed to chapter four of the report which highlights the emissions reduction potential key sectors could provide. The energy and climate experts looked at the mitigation potential in agriculture, buildings, energy, forestry, industry, and transport. Adopting existing and proven technologies in these sectors could reduce emissions by 30-36 gigatonnes CO2e per year by 2030. These reductions could be yielded at an investment of under US$100/tonne CO2.

Download the report from: unep.org

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Kornelis Blok
Angélica Afanador
Climate Strategies and Policies
The Emissions Gap Report 2017 (c) UNEP