UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2015

Published: 27/11/2015

The UNEP Emissions Gap Report is an annual authoritative assessment undertaken by a team of leading scientists and modelling experts from around the world. The 2015 edition presents an assessment of the 119 Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) submitted the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) by 1 October 2015, covering 146 countries and up to 88% of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2012.

If all INDCs are fully implemented, the 2030 emissions gap would still be 12 GtCO2e, putting the world on track to a temperature rise of around 3°C by 2100, and bringing significant climate impacts. However this scenario assumes that nations would not review and further accelerate efforts in subsequent years.

Ecofys particularly contributed to chapter 4 which addresses the impact of international cooperative initiatives. Their impact could be significant, with preliminary assessments indicating an emission reduction in the range of 0.75 to 2 GtCO2e in 2020.

Find the full report and executive summaries available at: unep.org/emissionsgapreport2015

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Kornelis Blok
The Emissions Gap Report 2015 © UNEP