Heat Pump Implementation Scenarios until 2030

An analysis of the technology potential in the building sector of 8 EU countries

Published: 30/01/2014

Aim of this study is to quantify the potential of heat pumps to save CO2-eq emissions and energy and to increase the use of renewable energy in the EU’s building sector until 2030. The study assesses related impacts on investments and energy costs. In relation to the F-Gas debate, the amount of F-gases necessary to realise these potentials is also calculated. For that purpose, eight European key markets (Austria, Belgium, Germany, Spain, France, Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom) have been analysed.

The three calculated scenarios all comprise the same very ambitious energy efficiency measures on the demand side, but different implementation shares for heat pumps on the supply side. In the scenario with the highest heat pump implementation shares (“HP++”) the overall CO2-eq emissions for heating, cooling, hot water and auxiliary energy in buildings can be reduced by 47% from 2012 until 2030.

The report and appendix are available at: ehpa.org

Dr.-Ing. Kjell Bettgenhäuser presented the main results of the study in a webcast:

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Kjell Bettgenhäuser
Urban Energy
Heat pump    (c)asheldunov/Fotolia